2018 House Forecating Model

The pre-Election write-up can be found here.

The model methodology is outlined here.

The GitHub repository can be found here.

Republicans currently have a 5% chance of retaining control of the House.

Democrats currently have a 95% chance of taking control of the House.

The national environment currenlty sits at D+7.3.

Updated Nov 5, 2018. Includes polling and FEC information through 7PM on Nov 5, 2018